Covid 19 and emerging scenarios


Covid 19 is certainly modifying everything. It is a comprehensible feeling. When people pass through an ordeal, they want to believe that when all is over there will be some compensation. Things may change, but perhaps not as radically as may seem likely today in the midst of the crisis and not all change will be for the better. The most evident question is that what change the corona crisis could bring to international politics. The novel virus is not just a catastrophe for global public health; it will also bring about a shift in the world order. Pandemics have affected and distorted world orders in the past. The Black Death pandemic in the fourteenth century AD, also believed to have originated from China, killed 90 percent of the people of Hubei, and about half of China’s then population of 123 million and reduced the world’s population by over 100 million. It brought the Mongol world order to its knees.  The crisis may weaken support for globalization, which was already weakened by rising populism and the policies of the world powers particularly US. The lightning speed in which the virus spread around the world, thanks to economic interdependence as well as tourism and travel, is going to be blamed on globalization and will create a further backlash against it. The closing of national and provincial borders and reassertion of state sovereignty has further exposed one of the most powerful myths of globalization as a borderless world. The virus may be the nail in the coffin of the idea of West. The catastrophe puts the comparative political and economic models of the United States and China under the global limelight, and whoever comes out it better will achieve more trustworthiness. There is a chance that its economic impact may be harsher on the United States than on China. The coronavirus may also expedite the shift in power and influence from west to east. The pandemic has further heightened friction between the United States and China, while also reinforcing the democratic recession that has characterized the world since the 9/11 attacks on the United States. In the absence of global leadership and cooperation, traumatic effects of coronavirus will leave unresolved the possibility of the return of the liberal order narrative, making a critical assessment of the pandemic’s disruptive consequences all the more urgent. The ongoing outbreak of novel coronavirus is the latest example of how biological risks are growing as our world becomes increasingly connected. According to an important study co-authored by the Nuclear Threat Initiative and Johns Hopkins University, health systems worldwide were weak and no country was fully prepared for a globally catastrophic biological event. Global health is an issue that sits uncomfortably close to national security threats from malicious use of biology by states or non-state actors. Once the pandemic is over it is believe that there will be more concentration towards biological weapons rather than the progression in nuclear regime. The coronavirus health crisis reminds us that biological weapons, unlike nuclear or chemical weapons, are exceedingly hard to find and detect in enough time to respond. Amid coronavirus pandemic there is need of an increased Global and regional connectivity and cooperation in order to defeat the virus as well as to develop a comprehensive plan. Collective measures and strategy can be helpful. There’s a reason that in-flight safety presentations always instruct us to secure our own oxygen masks before assisting fellow passengers. Nowhere is that notion more important than for the frontline public health workforce involved in the global COVID-19 response. Just like during the Ebola outbreak of 2014, these doctors, nurses, and community health workers are bearing a disproportionate burden of this epidemic, due to their constant contact with the virus, which is more contagious than the flu. In response to the crisis, much emphasis has been placed on providing medical personnel with the right equipment to avoid contracting the disease masks, gloves, gowns, goggles, and the like. These are essential precautions, of course. But we have to do more than ensure those on the front lines have the necessary protective gear. We also have to focus on maintaining their holistic well-being. The training of the health workers is another essentiality. While the number of reported cases of the new coronavirus surged in the world concerns are already growing about the capacity of its healthcare system to deal with the potential threat.

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